Fundamental Analysis

US stocks and bonds: Which one will surrender first?

Shares in the Asian region kicked off the week with a rise, anticipating the positive outcome of negotiations between the leaders of the United States and China at the G20 summit, while oil prices,...

FRB Bullard says insurance cut is needed to support inflation expectations

The head of FRB of St. Louis, James Bullard, said he crossed swords with most of his peers at the FOMC meeting this week, because he believes that anaemic inflation and uncertainty about the GDP...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Monday, June 24, 2019 - German Ifo Business Climate Index(EUR), Inflation Report Hearings (GBP).Tuesday, June 25, 2019 - CB Consumer Confidence (Jun)(USD), New Home Sales (May)(USD), Fed Chair Powell...

Why should the Fed prefer higher oil prices?

Heated by uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman, due to attacks on tankers and the downing of American drone by Iran, oil prices have been particularly unstable recently. On...

Fed’s upcoming rate cut is likely to be preemptive rather than a response to recession

World stock markets rose on Thursday after the Fed signaled about intentions to cut rates, presumably at the next meeting, removing the “patience” wording from the statement, emphasising the growth of...

Upcoming Fed meeting: Being contrarian has good reason

Since the March Fed meeting, there have been no significant changes in the US economy to justify the current expectations of three rate cuts until February 2020 (the most likely outcome). The rebel in...

Ballooning US government debt. Should it scare away investors?

Major foreign holders of US debt - including “official” buyers such as central banks and government organisations and private investors, have increased their holdings, despite by recent acceleration...

What is the relationship between gold and interest rates? Should we expect the development of correction?

Three meetings of central banks — the Fed, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England — will take place this week, and the first remarkable reaction in the market was a brisk liquidation of gold...

Cooperation vs. Competition: OPEC favours the former

OPEC and other oil exporting nations, including Russia, are in the final stage of negotiating an agreement, which may be signed in early July, aimed at cooperation in the oil production domain,...